EV Gap

The gap between the expected value implied by sentiment and the value currently reflected in price — the divergence active traders try to exploit.

An EV ("expected value") gap appears when sentiment and price disagree. If composite sentiment for a ticker is strongly bullish but the price has not moved, the market may not have priced in the information yet. That divergence is the edge: you are positioned before the crowd catches up.

EV gaps cut both ways. A stock grinding higher on fading sentiment is a bearish gap — momentum without conviction often reverses. The discipline is to act on the gap, not on the absolute level of either signal alone.

Not every gap is tradeable. Sentiment can lead price because it is early, or it can diverge because it is wrong — driven by a pump, a bot campaign, or an off-topic search spike. This is why EV gaps should be confirmed against source quality and technicals before sizing a position.

Sintinel surfaces the EV-gap read on each ticker so you can see at a glance whether the crowd's mood is ahead of, behind, or in line with the tape.

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Related terms

Composite Sentiment ScoreStock Sentiment AnalysisDirectional AccuracyKelly Criterion